Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 19.442752 21.968809 24.641224 27.673228 31.011694 34.569377 38.641260
2024-12-22 15.398549 18.783390 22.590048 27.166134 32.494452 38.478874 45.683511
2024-12-29 13.248865 17.314212 22.141521 28.244315 35.697264 44.443810 55.420424
2025-01-05 11.135394 15.553048 21.077783 28.399327 37.740919 49.147534 64.001239
2025-01-12 9.003250 13.441728 19.284923 27.391603 38.176961 51.847119 70.269027
2025-01-19 7.287583 11.617812 17.610362 26.296302 38.315717 54.085351 76.012548
2025-01-26 6.589952 11.110094 17.634577 27.441535 41.455730 60.362508 87.317477
2025-02-02 6.333498 11.207075 18.500215 29.804508 46.398058 69.306409 102.641828
2025-02-09 5.839981 10.860567 18.654951 31.115218 49.900681 76.430362 115.815426
2025-02-16 5.167122 10.125152 18.122885 31.321094 51.767065 81.309574 126.053050
2025-02-23 4.445835 9.200558 17.179967 30.781812 52.438289 84.452596 133.909738
2025-03-02 3.862944 8.431429 16.396903 30.401017 53.281061 87.832874 142.198609
2025-03-09 3.462834 7.957098 16.084892 30.797657 55.422715 93.351709 154.047643
2025-03-16 3.020157 7.332454 15.438926 30.568001 56.530346 97.338104 163.774362
2025-03-23 2.851980 7.236256 15.735141 31.981183 60.406952 105.790986 180.658894
2025-03-30 2.564869 6.844490 15.434531 32.302148 62.459724 111.447444 193.439492
2025-04-06 2.166252 6.138506 14.445402 31.275138 62.122773 113.230058 200.188534
2025-04-13 1.812710 5.467643 13.439928 30.112098 61.443028 114.380029 205.927888
2025-04-20 1.725924 5.426066 13.723435 31.436522 65.262632 123.137304 224.264172
2025-04-27 1.755953 5.683961 14.664493 34.112159 71.664915 136.472225 250.517181
2025-05-04 1.684290 5.665739 15.002055 35.599584 75.947001 146.354564 271.384846
2025-05-11 1.526913 5.390187 14.739403 35.843560 77.915356 152.331234 285.942828
2025-05-18 1.331744 4.970613 14.099762 35.248499 78.247847 155.459790 295.796653